Category Archive for 'Savings glut'

Sorry to regular readers for my blog’s being out of commission for much of the past week, but apparently it has created too much traffic for the host, so without giving me any warning they pulled the site.  We came up with a temporary solution and will move to something more permanent soon.  Since I [...]

The Shanghai stock market was up 4.5% in very nervous trading today but down 16.3% since its recent peak at 3478 on August 4, and still trading at more than 30 times earnings.  All this turmoil is triggering all sorts of worried comments about the sustainability of the fiscal stimulus package and whether it has [...]

Why do Chinese save?

My apologies, but once again I have been too busy traveling to post as often as I would like. I am currently in Malaga, in southern Spain, in my family’s home, where incidentally I can see first-hand the consequences of the global economic crisis. After enjoying for nearly a decade the spectacular results of the [...]

I have recently finished reading Martin Wolf’s latest book, Fixing Global Finance, and I strongly recommend it for its very clear laying out of the global balance of payments issues behind the global crisis. I should warn my readers that Wolf and I have come to very similar conclusions about the underlying root causes of [...]

With the tense start of China’s parliamentary season this afternoon – and with the National People’s Congress meeting Thursday – there isn’t much incentive to try to figure anything new out in China since we are likely to be given a lot more information and proposals over the next few days. What are the major [...]

On September 11 Ben Bernanke, Chairman of the Federal Reserve, gave a very useful presentation at the Bundesbank Lecture in Berlin.  It can be read at http://www.federalreserve.gov, and I strongly recommend that my Peking University students all read it.   Bernanke argues, as he has many time before, that the world is experiencing a savings glut.  According to [...]

There is an interesting, if perhaps predictable, June 17 Bloomberg article by Patricia Lui that discusses China’s holding of US dollar reserves. According to the article:   China is adding to its holdings of U.S. assets, data from the U.S. government showed yesterday, easing concern the Asian nation will sell dollar investments.  Total holdings of [...]

I was just sent a very interesting paper by German economist Jorg Bibow of the Levy Economics Institute of Bard College (The International Monetary (Non-)Order and the “Global Capital Flows Paradox”).  In it the author considers the “paradox” of high and rising capital flows from developing to developed countries during the past decade.  This is [...]

As I have mentioned many times on this blog I am one of those who sees the great global imbalances of the present period as largely a consequence of a global savings glut, and as the biggest saver China is one of the most important players in this process.  As the system is currently undergoing [...]

One of the comments on one of my earlier posts had me search out a quote from Steven Roach about there being no growth in global savings to support the global-savings-glut thesis.  There were also several interesting comments on the topic following the initial comment.  But rather than keep the discussion buried in the comments [...]